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Friday May 16, 2025 TBA
Bayesian methods give more intuitive answers, are easier to work with and conceptualize, and give sensible answers for data sizes as small as N=1.

When using Bayesian methods:

*confidence intervals get easier
* the hacky concept of p-values is discarded
* Uncomfortable cutoffs like "we can use this method if we have ~30 data points, but not if we have less" disappear.

There are many skilled data scientists who think statistics is confusing and doesn't make sense. They're right: the popular school of statistics, still taught in most universities, is a confusing mess. Bayesian methods cut through the confusion, and make advanced statistics accessible to the average data scientist.

For example, if you find p-values confusing... yes. You should. They are just bad. There is a far better alternative, which I'll tell you about.

Bayes' theorem has been covered to death, so I won't be covering it. Nor will I dump vicious equations on you. Instead, this talk has two aims:

1) To free the listener's mind from the hodge-podge of rules half-remembered from school, replacing them with a theory of probability that makes sense and can be reasoned about.

2) To equip you with methods you can use immediately, right when you get home.

and a bonus:

3) To show you how statistics works (because it absolutely does) when N = 5, or N = 2.
Speakers
avatar for Maxwell Peterson

Maxwell Peterson

Data Scientist
I use probability theory at scale to extract all available information from hard datasets.
Friday May 16, 2025 TBA

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